The Art of the Mis-Deal

So what about Trump's so-called deal with Iran?

 First of all, it's not a deal.  It's an MOU/framework that will guide negotiations over the next 60 days.  What does the MOU call for?

1. A 60-day ceasefire (we already had peace before Trump started the war).

2. The re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz (we already had that)

3. The end of the naval blockade (we already had that)

4. Iran agrees that it will neither produce nor acquire nuclear weapons (something they already agreed to under the previous deal)

5.  The U.S. agrees not to impose any new sanctions on Iran until a final deal is reached

6. The U.S. will waive oil sanctions ​on Iran for a specified period, allowing Tehran to sell oil and receive revenue

7. The U.S. ⁠agrees to release $25 billion of Iran’s frozen assets

8. The U.S. will prepare a reconstruction and development plan for Iran

9. Iran will have access to a $300 billion reconstruction fund (as confirmed by JD Vance)  

10. Iran would be allowed to charge maritime service fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz (instead of tolls). 

11. Iran can dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium on Iranian soil (instead of being seized by the U.S.)

12. Iran’s ​nuclear program, uranium enrichment activities and mechanisms  ​for handling its stockpile of highly enriched uranium will be negotiated within 60 days ​and addressed in a final agreement (so, kicking the can down the road on that one). 

So basically-- 1, 2, 3 & 4 we already had (no new gain for either side);  5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 & 11 are a net plus for Iran;  and 12 is TBD (no progress yet).  Sounds like a resounding win for Iran-- way to go, Orange man!